Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Norrby IF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ariana are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Norrby IF are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Norrby IF hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Ettan - Södra, while Norrby IF holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Norrby IF
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Norrby IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00