Arges Pitestivs
Uta Arad
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga I · 10/24/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Arges Pitesti 0-0 Uta Arad, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Arges Pitesti 0-1 Uta Arad
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 36.6% | 32.8% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 30.1% | 31.6% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 33.3% | 35.7% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Projected Score
Arges Pitesti 0–0 Uta Arad
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.6%
Model confidence
35.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Arges PitestiDLDWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Uta AradWLWLW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Arges PitestiUta Arad
22.2Attack41.7
63.9Defence52.8
33.3Form41.7
42.8Power46.3
0.75xG0.83