Arges Pitestivs
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga I · 8/29/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Arges Pitesti 0-0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Arges Pitesti 0-1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 42.7% | 37.7% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 31.3% | 34.2% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 3.55 | 26.0% | 28.0% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Projected Score
Arges Pitesti 0–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.2%
Model confidence
37.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40