Arges Pitestivs
FCSB
COMPLETEDRomania · Cupa României · 9/2/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arges Pitesti · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arges Pitesti 0-5 FCSB
Original prediction
Arges Pitesti
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.5% | 39.9% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.8% | 27.2% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.77 | 32.7% | 32.9% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Arges Pitesti
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Arges Pitesti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60