Arges Pitestivs
FC Botosani
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga I · 9/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Arges Pitesti 0-0 FC Botosani, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Arges Pitesti 1-1 FC Botosani
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 38.8% | 31.8% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.8% | 32.6% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.92 | 31.4% | 35.6% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.08 · Draw 2.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Projected Score
Arges Pitesti 0–0 FC Botosani
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.6%
Model confidence
35.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Arges PitestiLLLLD
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
FC BotosaniWLDWW
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Arges PitestiFC Botosani
16.7Attack50.0
75.0Defence66.7
41.7Form41.7
47.4Power52.2
0.66xG0.79