Argentinos Juniors Res.vs
Sarmiento Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Argentinos Juniors Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Argentinos Juniors Res. 0-0 Sarmiento Res., with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Argentinos Juniors Res. 1-1 Sarmiento Res.
Original prediction
Argentinos Juniors Res.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 47.8% | 42.6% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.4% | 32.4% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.93 | 22.9% | 25.0% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Projected Score
Argentinos Juniors Res. 0–0 Sarmiento Res.
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Argentinos Juniors Res.
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Argentinos Juniors Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20