Argentinos Juniors Res.vs
San Lorenzo Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 10/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Argentinos Juniors Res. 0-0 San Lorenzo Res., with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Argentinos Juniors Res. 0-1 San Lorenzo Res.
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.2% | 37.5% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 29.6% | 31.9% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.05 | 29.2% | 30.6% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Projected Score
Argentinos Juniors Res. 0–0 San Lorenzo Res.
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.9%
Model confidence
37.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80