Argentinos JRSvs
Tigre
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/4/2026, 10:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Argentinos JRS · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Argentinos JRS 0-0 Tigre, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Argentinos JRS 2-1 Tigre
Original prediction
Argentinos JRS
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 51.4% | 44.5% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 29.3% | 33.8% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 4.87 | 19.3% | 21.8% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.9 pts
Projected Score
Argentinos JRS 0–0 Tigre
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Argentinos JRS
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Argentinos JRS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40