Argentinos JRSvs
Racing Montevideo
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/9/2024, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Argentinos JRS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Racing Montevideo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Argentinos JRS hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 33% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.5%
Model confidence
33.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60