GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/28/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nacional Asuncion · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Argentinos JRS are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Nacional Asuncion are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.0 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Nacional Asuncion holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nacional Asuncion

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

38.0%

Nacional Asuncion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Argentinos JRSWLLWL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Nacional AsuncionLLDLL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Argentinos JRSNacional Asuncion
38.9Attack33.3
33.3Defence66.7
50.0Form33.3
44.0Power45.3
1.15xG1.35
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