Argentinos JRSvs
Gimnasia L.P.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 9/13/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Argentinos JRS · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Argentinos JRS 1-0 Gimnasia L.P., with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Argentinos JRS 1-1 Gimnasia L.P.
Original prediction
Argentinos JRS
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 53.9% | 44.2% | -9.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 27.4% | 30.5% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 5.00 | 18.7% | 25.3% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.7 pts
Projected Score
Argentinos JRS 1–0 Gimnasia L.P.
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Argentinos JRS
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Argentinos JRS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00