Argentinos JRSvs
Corinthians
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/24/2024, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Argentinos JRS are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Corinthians are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Corinthians hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80