Argentino Rosariovs
Mercedes
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Argentino Rosario are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Mercedes are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Mercedes hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (42.9 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 30.4% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
30.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40