Argentino Quilmesvs
Sportivo Italiano
SCHEDULEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 8/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Argentino Quilmes are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Sportivo Italiano are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Italiano hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (47.2 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.1% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
33.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 0.20/0.00
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40