Argentino Quilmesvs
Deportivo Merlo
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 9/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Argentino Quilmes · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Argentino Quilmes 0-0 Deportivo Merlo, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Argentino Quilmes 1-0 Deportivo Merlo
Original prediction
Argentino Quilmes
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 39.9% | 39.2% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.69 | 33.2% | 33.0% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.33 | 26.9% | 27.8% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Projected Score
Argentino Quilmes 0–0 Deportivo Merlo
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Argentino Quilmes
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Argentino Quilmes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60