Argentino Monte Maízvs
Villa Mitre
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 9/13/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Argentino Monte Maíz 0-0 Villa Mitre, with an exact score probability of 41%.
Prediction record
Final result
Argentino Monte Maíz 1-0 Villa Mitre
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 37.3% | 31.3% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.63 | 34.2% | 40.7% | 6.6 pts |
| Away | 3.15 | 28.6% | 28.0% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.5 pts
Projected Score
Argentino Monte Maíz 0–0 Villa Mitre
Exact score probability: 41%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Argentino Monte MaízWWDDL
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Villa MitreWDDLD
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Argentino Monte MaízVilla Mitre
31.9Attack28.8
72.5Defence83.3
44.9Form48.5
51.7Power55.0
0.46xG0.44