Argentino de Merlovs
Villa San Carlos
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 9/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Argentino de Merlo 0-0 Villa San Carlos, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Argentino de Merlo 0-1 Villa San Carlos
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 33.4% | 35.0% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.60 | 34.4% | 35.6% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.77 | 32.2% | 29.4% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Projected Score
Argentino de Merlo 0–0 Villa San Carlos
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.6%
Model confidence
35.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80