Argentino de Merlovs
Villa Dalmine
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 8/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Argentino de Merlo 0-0 Villa Dalmine, with an exact score probability of 33%.
Prediction record
Final result
Argentino de Merlo 0-0 Villa Dalmine
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.31 | 27.3% | 26.4% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.81 | 32.2% | 35.0% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.23 | 40.6% | 38.6% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.81 · Draw 1.81 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Projected Score
Argentino de Merlo 0–0 Villa Dalmine
Exact score probability: 33%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.0%
Model confidence
38.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40