Argentino de Merlovs
Sportivo Italiano
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 10/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sportivo Italiano · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Argentino de Merlo 0-0 Sportivo Italiano, with an exact score probability of 30%.
Prediction record
Final result
Argentino de Merlo 1-2 Sportivo Italiano
Original prediction
Sportivo Italiano
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 17:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.27 | 27.4% | 23.0% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 30.4% | 34.8% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 42.1% | 42.3% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Projected Score
Argentino de Merlo 0–0 Sportivo Italiano
Exact score probability: 30%
Predicted outcome
Sportivo Italiano
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Sportivo Italiano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60