Argentino de Merlovs
Real Pilar
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 9/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Argentino de Merlo 0-0 Real Pilar, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Argentino de Merlo 0-1 Real Pilar
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.81 | 23.9% | 28.8% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.3% | 34.1% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 45.7% | 37.1% | -8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Projected Score
Argentino de Merlo 0–0 Real Pilar
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Argentino de MerloLDLDD
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Real PilarLDWWD
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Argentino de MerloReal Pilar
29.4Attack36.3
66.7Defence66.7
40.2Form51.0
47.3Power53.8
0.63xG0.69