Argentina leads with 63% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Match insights

Argentina head into this in World Cup fixture at Arrowhead Stadium in outstanding form (LWWWW), while Switzerland arrive in strong form (LDWWW). Argentina have a 88% win rate across their last 8 matches, compared to 50% for Switzerland over 6 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Argentina (66/100) and Switzerland (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Argentina have won all 3 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game at home. Switzerland have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

Argentina have generated 2.43 xG per game recently while conceding 0.75 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Switzerland have generated 0.71 xG per game recently while conceding 0.91 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 75% of recent matches.

Argentina have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Argentina to win with 63% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Argentina 6334%, Draw 2155%, Switzerland 1511%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Recent form

Argentina

L

@ Spain

19 Jul 2026

0–1

W

@ England

15 Jul 2026

2–1

W

vs Switzerland

12 Jul 2026

3–1

xG 2.0

W

vs Egypt

7 Jul 2026

3–2

xG 2.9

W

vs Cape Verde Islands

3 Jul 2026

3–2

Switzerland

L

@ Argentina

12 Jul 2026

1–3

xG 0.5

D

vs Colombia

7 Jul 2026

0–0

xG 0.1

W

vs Algeria

3 Jul 2026

2–0

W

vs Canada

24 Jun 2026

2–1

xG 1.1

W

vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

18 Jun 2026

4–1

xG 1.2

Frequently asked questions

Explore more predictions