World Cup
Argentina
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Argentina leads with 57% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Argentina head into this in World Cup fixture at Arrowhead Stadium in outstanding form (LWWWW), while Algeria arrive in mixed form (LDWL). Argentina have a 88% win rate across their last 8 matches, compared to 25% for Algeria over 4 games.
Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Argentina's elite attack (84/100) faces a vulnerable Algeria defence (20/100), while Algeria's attack is up against a solid Argentina backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Argentina's favour.
Argentina have won all 3 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game at home. Algeria have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.
Argentina have generated 2.43 xG per game recently while conceding 0.75 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Algeria have generated 1.24 xG per game recently while conceding 1.02 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 67% of recent matches.
Argentina have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game.
The GoalVio engine projects Argentina to win with 47% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Argentina 5740%, Draw 2190%, Algeria 2070%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.
Head to head
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Frequently asked questions
Who will win Argentina vs Algeria?
GoalVio's model predicts Argentina to win with 47% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Argentina vs Algeria?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.
Will both teams score in Argentina vs Algeria?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Argentina vs Algeria?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.