GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone B · 8/25/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arezzo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Arezzo are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Città di Campobasso are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 3.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Arezzo hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (56.9 v 44.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Serie C - Girone B, while Arezzo holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arezzo

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

46.0%

Arezzo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ArezzoWWLWL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Città di CampobassoLL

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.50/3.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
ArezzoCittà di Campobasso
42.1Attack31.6
67.5Defence59.6
56.1Form37.7
56.9Power44.8
1.13xG0.54
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