Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aresimi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Aresimi are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Skopje are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 24.2 against 26.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the First League, while Aresimi holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aresimi
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
13.7%
Aresimi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60