GGOALVIO

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/3/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arenteiro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Arenteiro are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (LWDD), averaging 0.75 scored and 0.75 conceded, while SD Logroñés are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WDLL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Arenteiro hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 37.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1, while Arenteiro holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arenteiro

Probability

51.3%

Model confidence

51.3%

Arenteiro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ArenteiroLWDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.75/0.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
SD LogroñésWDLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.50/1.75

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
ArenteiroSD Logroñés
37.7Attack23.7
64.9Defence51.8
45.6Form30.7
51.1Power37.7
1.22xG0.45
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