Arendalvs
Sandnes ULF
COMPLETEDNorway · NM Cupen · 9/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arendal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arendal 1-2 Sandnes ULF
Original prediction
Arendal
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.69 | 33.9% | 38.0% | 4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.2% | 26.5% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.23 | 40.9% | 35.4% | -5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Arendal
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Arendal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ArendalWLWWW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Sandnes ULFLDWLL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ArendalSandnes ULF
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.89xG1.61