Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arendal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Arendal are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while jerv are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Arendal hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (65.2 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Arendal holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arendal
Probability
66.3%
Model confidence
11.0%
Arendal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00