Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arendal · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Arendal are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Grorud are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Arendal hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (57.1 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the 2. Division - Group 1, while Arendal holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arendal
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Arendal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00