Arendalvs
Eik-Tønsberg
COMPLETEDNorway · 2. Division - Group 1 · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arendal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arendal 3-0 Eik-Tønsberg
Original prediction
Arendal
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 56.8% | 64.6% | 7.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.10 | 22.1% | 18.2% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 4.27 | 21.2% | 17.2% | -4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Arendal
Probability
64.6%
Model confidence
64.6%
Arendal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80