Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brattvåg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arendal 2-3 Brattvåg
Original prediction
Brattvåg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.95 | 30.6% | 29.6% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 24.9% | 26.5% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 44.5% | 43.9% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Brattvåg
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Brattvåg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ArendalLLWLW
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BrattvågWLLWD
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ArendalBrattvåg
0.0Attack66.7
0.0Defence83.3
0.0Form100.0
7.0Power86.5
1.29xG1.97