Arenas Getxovs
Zamora
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arenas Getxo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arenas Getxo 1-2 Zamora
Original prediction
Arenas Getxo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 34.6% | 38.0% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 30.6% | 29.5% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 34.8% | 32.5% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Arenas Getxo
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Arenas Getxo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20