Arenas Getxovs
UD Ourense
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UD Ourense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arenas Getxo 2-0 UD Ourense
Original prediction
UD Ourense
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 43.7% | 35.3% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.7% | 27.8% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.19 | 28.6% | 36.9% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
UD Ourense
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
UD Ourense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 15 · avg 0.40/3.00
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40