GGOALVIO

Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/9/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Barakaldo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Arenas Getxo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Barakaldo are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Barakaldo hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 72.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.5% in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2, while Barakaldo holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Barakaldo

Probability

51.5%

Model confidence

51.5%

Barakaldo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arenas GetxoWWLWD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BarakaldoWDWWW

GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Arenas GetxoBarakaldo
34.3Attack59.8
63.7Defence81.4
40.2Form74.5
47.6Power72.1
0.51xG1.28
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