Arema FCvs
Persik Kediri
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 1 · 9/18/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arema FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arema FC 1-1 Persik Kediri
Original prediction
Arema FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 54.6% | 45.8% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.8% | 26.5% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 4.39 | 20.5% | 27.7% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.64 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Arema FC
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Arema FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80