Arema FCvs
Bhayangkara FC
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 1 · 10/10/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arema FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arema FC 2-2 Bhayangkara FC
Original prediction
Arema FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 40.2% | 41.3% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.4% | 26.8% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 32.3% | 31.8% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Arema FC
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Arema FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40