Ardsvs
Rathfriland
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ards · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ards 1-0 Rathfriland
Original prediction
Ards
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Ards
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Ards has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ArdsLLLLL
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RathfrilandLLLWL
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ArdsRathfriland
22.2Attack11.1
22.2Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
19.2Power10.9
1.84xG1.46