GGOALVIO

Northern-Ireland · Championship · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Queen's University · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Ards are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Queen's University are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Queen's University hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the Championship, while Queen's University holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Queen's University

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

11.1%

Queen's University has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ArdsLLWLW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Queen's UniversityWLDWW

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ArdsQueen's University
52.6Attack50.0
39.5Defence66.7
32.5Form50.0
42.1Power54.2
1.55xG1.76
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