GGOALVIO

Northern-Ireland · Championship · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ards · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ards are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.67 conceded, while Newington Youth are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Newington Youth hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Championship, while Ards holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ards

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

37.8%

Ards has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ArdsLWL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/3.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Newington YouthLL

GF 0 · GA 4 · avg 0.00/2.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
ArdsNewington Youth
52.6Attack57.0
39.5Defence40.4
32.5Form45.6
42.1Power48.6
1.99xG1.96
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