Ardsvs
Moyola Park
SCHEDULEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 11/13/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ards · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 14 October 2026 at 02:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Ards
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Ards has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ArdsWDLDW
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Moyola ParkWLWDL
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ArdsMoyola Park
42.4Attack36.4
60.6Defence36.4
45.5Form42.4
50.9Power41.3
1.80xG0.78