Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Loughgall · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ards 1-2 Loughgall
Original prediction
Loughgall
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Loughgall
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Loughgall has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ArdsLLWLW
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LoughgallWLWWL
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ArdsLoughgall
52.6Attack43.9
39.5Defence66.7
32.5Form49.1
42.1Power54.6
1.10xG1.53