Arda Kardzhalivs
Cherno More Varna
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 7/15/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arda Kardzhali · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Arda Kardzhali are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cherno More Varna are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Arda Kardzhali hold a 34.4-point power-rating edge (60.3 v 25.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.1% in the First League, while Arda Kardzhali holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arda Kardzhali
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Arda Kardzhali has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00