League CupLeague Cup
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:06
Arbroath

Arbroath

Home
W
10
Full time
Stirling Albion

Stirling Albion

Away
W
Gayfield Park
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
Arbroath(41%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Arbroath
41%
Draw
24%
Stirling Albion
35%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Arbroath
73
Stirling Albion
94
Defence
Arbroath
66
Stirling Albion
66
Momentum
Arbroath
100
Stirling Albion
100
Danger (xG)
Arbroath
1.80
Stirling Albion
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Arbroath)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Stirling Albion)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Arbroath)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Stirling Albion)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
ArbroathArbroath
W
Stirling AlbionStirling Albion
W

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
Arbroath41%
Draw24%
Stirling Albion35%

Arbroath leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Arbroath head into this in League Cup fixture at Gayfield Park in mixed form (W), while Stirling Albion arrive in mixed form (W). Arbroath have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Stirling Albion over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Arbroath (66/100) and Stirling Albion (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Arbroath have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Stirling Albion have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Arbroath and Stirling Albion in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Arbroath to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Arbroath 4100%, Draw 2385%, Stirling Albion 3515%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Arbroath

Arbroath

W
@ Spartans
11 Jul 2026
21
Stirling Albion

Stirling Albion

W
@ Spartans
14 Jul 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Arbroath vs Stirling Albion?

GoalVio's model predicts Arbroath to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Arbroath vs Stirling Albion?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Arbroath vs Stirling Albion?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Arbroath vs Stirling Albion?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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