Arbroathvs
Queen's Park
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 9/25/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arbroath · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Arbroath 0-0 Queen's Park, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Arbroath 2-1 Queen's Park
Original prediction
Arbroath
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 50.8% | 42.7% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.8% | 30.6% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 4.27 | 21.4% | 26.8% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.1 pts
Projected Score
Arbroath 0–0 Queen's Park
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Arbroath
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Arbroath has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ArbroathLLDWW
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Queen's ParkLLWDL
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ArbroathQueen's Park
19.0Attack14.3
57.1Defence47.6
38.1Form19.0
41.0Power30.8
1.03xG0.71