Arbroathvs
Queen's Park
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 8/19/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arbroath · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Arbroath are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Queen's Park are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Arbroath hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Championship, while Arbroath holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arbroath
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Arbroath has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00