Arbroathvs
Livingston
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Livingston · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Arbroath 0-0 Livingston, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Arbroath 1-0 Livingston
Original prediction
Livingston
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.33 | 27.5% | 31.1% | 3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.2% | 29.4% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.02 | 45.3% | 39.5% | -5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.8 pts
Projected Score
Arbroath 0–0 Livingston
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Livingston
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Livingston has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ArbroathWDLWL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
LivingstonWLWDW
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
ArbroathLivingston
22.2Attack44.4
66.7Defence77.8
44.4Form66.7
47.5Power63.5
0.92xG1.07