GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/14/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arbroath · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Arbroath are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Heart Of Midlothian are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Arbroath hold a 27.2-point power-rating edge (40.3 v 13.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Arbroath holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arbroath

Probability

45.3%

Model confidence

45.3%

Arbroath has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ArbroathWWWLD

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Heart Of MidlothianLLWDW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ArbroathHeart Of Midlothian
33.3Attack22.2
44.4Defence0.0
33.3Form0.0
40.3Power13.1
2.15xG1.28
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