Arbroathvs
Dunfermline
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Arbroath 0-0 Dunfermline, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Arbroath 1-1 Dunfermline
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 34.2% | 36.8% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 30.0% | 31.8% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.8% | 31.4% | -4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.05 · Draw 2.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Projected Score
Arbroath 0–0 Dunfermline
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ArbroathWWDLW
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
DunfermlineWLLDD
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ArbroathDunfermline
25.0Attack16.7
75.0Defence75.0
58.3Form41.7
55.9Power47.4
0.90xG0.72