GGOALVIO

Scotland · Championship · 8/4/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dundee Utd · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Arbroath are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Dundee Utd are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dundee Utd hold a 39.1-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 70.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.5% in the Championship, while Dundee Utd holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dundee Utd

Probability

62.5%

Model confidence

62.5%

Dundee Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ArbroathWLLDW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Dundee UtdWWWLL

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ArbroathDundee Utd
0.0Attack67.6
66.7Defence78.7
16.7Form69.4
31.3Power70.5
0.57xG1.76
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