GGOALVIO

Azerbaijan · Birinci Dasta · 9/29/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mingəçevir · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Araz Saatlı are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 5.50 conceded, while Mingəçevir are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mingəçevir hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (20.1 v 39.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the Birinci Dasta, while Mingəçevir holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mingəçevir

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

Mingəçevir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Araz SaatlıLL

GF 0 · GA 11 · avg 0.00/5.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 2/2
MingəçevirLL

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/3.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Araz SaatlıMingəçevir
34.6Attack24.7
1.2Defence51.9
16.0Form33.3
20.1Power39.3
1.02xG1.21
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