GGOALVIO

Armenia · Premier League · 8/12/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ararat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ararat are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while West Armenia are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.50 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and West Armenia hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (16.3 v 38.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the Premier League, while Ararat holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ararat

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

45.7%

Ararat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AraratDL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
West ArmeniaLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 1.50/4.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
AraratWest Armenia
16.7Attack40.0
16.7Defence33.3
0.0Form35.2
16.3Power38.6
1.84xG1.35
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